{
  "schema": "pi.swarm.predictive_telemetry_ledger.v1",
  "generated_at": "2026-05-09T09:00:00+00:00",
  "status": "blocked",
  "purpose": "advisory_pressure_prediction_not_release_performance_claim",
  "source_runpack_schema": "pi.swarm.operator_runpack.v1",
  "source_freshness": [
    {
      "id": "cargo_admission",
      "path": "cargo.json",
      "status": "ok",
      "schema": "pi.cargo_headroom.admission.v1",
      "timestamp": "2026-05-09T09:00:00+00:00",
      "freshness_hours": 0,
      "freshness_classification": "fresh",
      "issue": null,
      "size_bytes": 512,
      "sha256": "aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa"
    },
    {
      "id": "agent_mail_status",
      "path": "agent-mail-status.json",
      "status": "ok",
      "schema": "pi.agent_mail.robot_status.v1",
      "timestamp": "2026-05-09T09:00:00+00:00",
      "freshness_hours": 0,
      "freshness_classification": "fresh",
      "issue": "schema health fixture reports write-path corruption",
      "size_bytes": 512,
      "sha256": "bbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbb"
    },
    {
      "id": "rpc_swarm_e2e",
      "path": "stale-rpc-swarm-e2e.json",
      "status": "ok",
      "schema": "pi.rpc.concurrent_swarm_e2e.v1",
      "timestamp": "2026-05-07T09:00:00+00:00",
      "freshness_hours": 48,
      "freshness_classification": "historical_snapshot",
      "issue": "source is older than stale_after_hours=24",
      "size_bytes": 256,
      "sha256": "cccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccc"
    }
  ],
  "observation_count": 6,
  "observations": [
    {
      "id": "validation_pressure",
      "status": "pressured",
      "pressure_dimension": "validation",
      "signal": "rch_or_validation_backoff",
      "confidence": "high",
      "forecast_horizon": "next_validation_command",
      "source_refs": [
        {
          "id": "cargo_admission",
          "path": "cargo.json",
          "status": "ok",
          "schema": "pi.cargo_headroom.admission.v1",
          "sha256": "aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa",
          "freshness": "current",
          "timestamp": "2026-05-09T09:00:00+00:00"
        }
      ],
      "evidence_paths": [
        "rch_admission.decision",
        "rch_admission.queue_forecast.recommended_action",
        "remote_validation_proof_ledger.summary"
      ],
      "metrics": {
        "decision": "backoff",
        "recommended_action": "backoff",
        "blocked_entries": 1,
        "degraded_entries": 0,
        "failed_entries": 0
      },
      "next_action": "Back off or split heavy cargo validation before adding more RCH load.",
      "rationale": "Validation pressure is predicted from RCH admission plus remote proof outcomes."
    },
    {
      "id": "coordination_pressure",
      "status": "blocked",
      "pressure_dimension": "coordination",
      "signal": "agent_mail_write_path_blocked",
      "confidence": "medium",
      "forecast_horizon": "next_agent_claim",
      "source_refs": [
        {
          "id": "doctor_swarm",
          "path": "doctor.json",
          "status": "ok",
          "schema": null,
          "sha256": "dddddddddddddddddddddddddddddddddddddddddddddddddddddddddddddddd",
          "freshness": "current",
          "timestamp": "2026-05-09T09:00:00+00:00"
        }
      ],
      "evidence_paths": [
        "agent_mail_read_state.status",
        "agent_mail_read_state.semantic_readiness_status",
        "agent_mail_read_state.fallback_action",
        "beads.active_ownership"
      ],
      "metrics": {
        "agent_mail_status": "degraded",
        "semantic_readiness_status": "fail",
        "fallback_action": "use_beads_soft_lock",
        "soft_lock": "beads",
        "recovery_mode": "schema_repair_required"
      },
      "next_action": "Use Beads status/comments as the coordination record until Agent Mail writes are healthy.",
      "rationale": "Coordination pressure is predicted from Agent Mail readiness and Beads soft-lock posture."
    },
    {
      "id": "work_queue_pressure",
      "status": "blocked",
      "pressure_dimension": "work_queue",
      "signal": "stale_in_progress_work_blocks_assignment",
      "confidence": "high",
      "forecast_horizon": "next_bead_selection",
      "source_refs": [
        {
          "id": "beads",
          "path": "beads.json",
          "status": "ok",
          "schema": null,
          "sha256": "eeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee",
          "freshness": "current",
          "timestamp": "2026-05-09T09:00:00+00:00"
        }
      ],
      "evidence_paths": [
        "beads.active_count",
        "beads.open_candidate_count",
        "beads.stale",
        "beads.deferred_planning"
      ],
      "metrics": {
        "active_count": 1,
        "open_candidate_count": 0,
        "stale_count": 1,
        "deferred_planning_count": 0
      },
      "next_action": "Review stale in-progress Beads before assigning overlapping work.",
      "rationale": "Work-queue pressure is predicted from Beads active, open, stale, and deferred-planning evidence."
    },
    {
      "id": "turn_context_pressure",
      "status": "blocked",
      "pressure_dimension": "turn_context",
      "signal": "turn_pressure_blocked",
      "confidence": "high",
      "forecast_horizon": "current_turn",
      "source_refs": [
        {
          "id": "smoke_harness",
          "path": "smoke.json",
          "status": "ok",
          "schema": "pi.swarm.smoke_harness.v1",
          "sha256": "ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff",
          "freshness": "current",
          "timestamp": "2026-05-09T09:00:00+00:00"
        }
      ],
      "evidence_paths": [
        "turn_pressure_ledger.status",
        "turn_pressure_ledger.pressure_events",
        "turn_pressure_ledger.summary.pressure_event_count"
      ],
      "metrics": {
        "pressure_event_count": 2,
        "dimension_status_counts": {
          "blocked": 2
        },
        "highest_status": "blocked"
      },
      "next_action": "Review turn-pressure dimensions before increasing prompt, tool, or session load.",
      "rationale": "Turn context pressure is predicted from the current runpack turn-pressure ledger."
    },
    {
      "id": "bottleneck_source_pressure",
      "status": "stale",
      "pressure_dimension": "bottleneck_attribution",
      "signal": "bottleneck_inputs_stale",
      "confidence": "high",
      "forecast_horizon": "next_operator_handoff",
      "source_refs": [
        {
          "id": "rpc_swarm_e2e",
          "path": "stale-rpc-swarm-e2e.json",
          "status": "ok",
          "schema": "pi.rpc.concurrent_swarm_e2e.v1",
          "sha256": "cccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccc",
          "freshness": "current",
          "timestamp": "2026-05-09T09:00:00+00:00"
        }
      ],
      "evidence_paths": [
        "bottleneck_attribution.status",
        "bottleneck_attribution.blocked_inputs",
        "bottleneck_attribution.historical_snapshots",
        "bottleneck_attribution.bottlenecks"
      ],
      "metrics": {
        "dashboard_status": "degraded",
        "blocked_input_count": 0,
        "historical_snapshot_count": 1,
        "bottleneck_count": 1
      },
      "next_action": "Refresh blocked or stale diagnostic sources before trusting the next bottleneck attribution handoff.",
      "rationale": "Bottleneck-source pressure is predicted from source freshness and observed bottleneck count."
    },
    {
      "id": "evidence_freshness_pressure",
      "status": "stale",
      "pressure_dimension": "evidence_freshness",
      "signal": "claim_evidence_stale",
      "confidence": "high",
      "forecast_horizon": "next_claim_or_release_handoff",
      "source_refs": [
        {
          "id": "claim_readiness",
          "path": "claim.json",
          "status": "ok",
          "schema": "pi.swarm.claim_readiness_report.v1",
          "sha256": "9999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999",
          "freshness": "current",
          "timestamp": "2026-05-09T09:00:00+00:00"
        }
      ],
      "evidence_paths": [
        "evidence_readiness.overall_status",
        "evidence_readiness.blocking_artifacts",
        "evidence_readiness.stale_claims",
        "stale_evidence_renewal_queue.summary"
      ],
      "metrics": {
        "overall_status": "ready",
        "blocking_artifact_count": 0,
        "stale_claim_count": 2,
        "renewal_item_count": 0,
        "renewal_blocked_count": 0
      },
      "next_action": "Renew stale evidence before making claim-facing statements; keep this ledger advisory unless claim gates authorize the claim.",
      "rationale": "Evidence pressure is predicted from claim-readiness and stale-renewal queue summaries."
    }
  ],
  "next_bottleneck_hypotheses": [
    {
      "rank": 1,
      "hypothesis_id": "next_bottleneck_work_queue_pressure",
      "source_observation_id": "work_queue_pressure",
      "status": "blocked",
      "pressure_dimension": "work_queue",
      "confidence": "high",
      "forecast_horizon": "next_bead_selection",
      "rationale": "Work-queue pressure is predicted from Beads active, open, stale, and deferred-planning evidence.",
      "recommended_action": "Review stale in-progress Beads before assigning overlapping work.",
      "evidence_paths": [
        "beads.active_count",
        "beads.open_candidate_count",
        "beads.stale",
        "beads.deferred_planning"
      ]
    },
    {
      "rank": 2,
      "hypothesis_id": "next_bottleneck_coordination_pressure",
      "source_observation_id": "coordination_pressure",
      "status": "blocked",
      "pressure_dimension": "coordination",
      "confidence": "medium",
      "forecast_horizon": "next_agent_claim",
      "rationale": "Coordination pressure is predicted from Agent Mail readiness and Beads soft-lock posture.",
      "recommended_action": "Use Beads status/comments as the coordination record until Agent Mail writes are healthy.",
      "evidence_paths": [
        "agent_mail_read_state.status",
        "agent_mail_read_state.semantic_readiness_status",
        "agent_mail_read_state.fallback_action",
        "beads.active_ownership"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "summary": {
    "observation_status_counts": {
      "blocked": 3,
      "pressured": 1,
      "stale": 2
    },
    "highest_status": "blocked",
    "hypothesis_count": 2,
    "blocked_or_stale_count": 5,
    "source_freshness_counts": {
      "fresh": 2,
      "historical_snapshot": 1
    }
  },
  "guards": {
    "advisory_only": true,
    "read_only": true,
    "no_live_scheduler_mutation": true,
    "no_agent_mail_or_rch_mutation": true,
    "not_release_or_capacity_claim_evidence": true,
    "does_not_replace_source_evidence": true
  }
}